That's genuinely creepy. The detail about not wanting to look directly at it is really interesting - that's a detail that comes up in quite a few paranormal encounter reports.
The motion blur actually makes analysis harder because it obscures detail. Could be almost anything blurred that way. The lighting's also problematic for determining distance and scale.
I'd be very interested in seeing your data. If you're willing to share, I could run some basic statistical analysis to see if the seasonal pattern holds up to scrutiny.
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